Showing posts with label Exports. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Exports. Show all posts

Monday, 27 November 2017

Advantage and disadvantage of Exports


Any commercial activities that take place across borders comprise International Business. Nature of such business may involve movement of goods, providing services, expansion of franchise, outsourcing or off-sourcing production or research and development.
As a domestic firm, it may be an intended strategy to export products and services. However, before venturing into the export business the firm must assess both advantages and disadvantages. Such firms will have its fair share of opportunities and face various deterrents.
Why a firm would be inclined to export? What incentive does exporting provide?

There may be various reasons, prominent among them are:

1.Using excess capacity
A firm may look to exploit surplus production capacity which it may have. It can extend its manufacturing facility to a party from outside the country or export its products directly.
Certain industries are seasonal in nature. By also focusing on export market, they can ensure manufacturing throughout the year.

2.Lack of domestic market
A firm may not have a market of its product in its own country.
A mining company with natural resources but with no processing capability of its own or producer in its own country may be forced to export raw materials.

3.Stagnation in domestic market
A producer in domestic arena finds down the line a decline in sales and lack of interest from consumers, perhaps because of changed technology or availability of substitute in its own country. Exports can open up new opportunities in markets where its products can still do well.
An electronic manufacturer would prefer to export to under-developed countries in its declining phase instead of incurring losses by sticking to domestic market only.

4.Targeted market is not present in its own country
A firm may not be able to sell its products, designed for a targeted segment which does not exists in its own country and hence would need to export to other countries.
An order supplier for niche leather goods brands would need to export rather than try to sell in domestic market where buyers are non-existent.

5.Over-competition in own country
Domestic market in its own country may have become price sensitive and with no cost advantage it needs to look for fresher grounds.

6.Brand name
A firm with domestically established brand name may want to capitalize on it.
Mahindra and Mahindra, going global with its brand of SUVs is an example of such expansion.

7.Spreading of risk
Firms spread their risk by diversifying into international market and by not tying themselves to business cycles in their own country. Firm’s own country could face recession and during such period revenues from overseas business play an important role in survival.

8.Economics of scale and higher profit margin
With expansion into international market a firm increases its scale of operation, consequently higher utilization of production facility and acquiring cost advantage and hence increased profitability.

9.Identification of demand
A firm may identify a demand that exists in another country and hence choose to produce and export to the country.

10.Foreign exchange
A firm may be inclined to export and earn foreign exchange to negate its own requirement for imports.

11.Export Incentives
Many governments hand out incentives in form of Duty Draw back, Duty free import licences, tax holidays etc. Exporters can be major beneficiary of such schemes, contributing to their income and presenting them with competitive advantage.

Disadvantages of Exports


1.Fluctuation in foreign exchange rate
Fluctuation in foreign exchange rate can adversely affect profit margins in local currency terms. A stronger local currency would imply lower revenue. Over a long run, it can be genesis for loss of competitive advantage in international market.

2.Economic conditions in importing country
An economic slowdown in importing country can cause reduced export orders.

3.Political conditions in importing country
De-growth in economic could be consequence of an adverse change in political environment.
An importing nation going to war with its neighbor or deterioration in political stability could result in diminishing imports.

4.Change in regulation in importing country
Governments in importing country could bring out a change in laws, regulations or policy, adversely affecting export potentials.
Higher import duty or regulations to deter dumping changes business scenario.

5.Rivalry between nations
A competing nation’s government sometime provide higher export incentives or could even extend sovereign assistance in dumping into an importing nation; meaning significant lower business for the firm.

6.Socio barriers
Difference in language and culture creates socio barriers for exporting firms.

7.Higher  working capital requirement
Export could require higher inventory days and abound logistic challenges while shipping to certain destinations.

8.Credit risk
One of the major risks which an exporter faces is payment risk. Unrealized proceeds mean financial loss to exporters.

Even though international financial transactions have undergone standardization and is regulated, possibility of non-liquidation of export receivables exists.


Conclusion 


While exports present more advantages than disadvantages, it is important for firms to review periodically to assess benefits and draw their strategy accordingly.


Vinay Pandey, 27/11/2017


PS : If you have a suggestion or have noticed a mistake, please leave a comment.

Tuesday, 31 October 2017

What does the new trade route from India to Afghanistan via Chabahar port holds for the region

Where is Chabahar and why it is important ?


Chabahar Port is a seaport in Chabahar located in south-eastern Iran, on the Gulf of Oman.

Among other things Chabahar port acts as a gateway to central Asia for India, bypassing hostile Pakistan. Route through Chabahar and Iran opens up new opportunities for trade and transit from India to Afghanistan and other landlocked central Asian countries. 



A trilateral agreement on Establishment of International Transport and Transit Corridor was signed during the visit of Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Iran in May 2016

In June, 2017 India and Afghanistan had launched an air freight corridor between the two countries to boost trade.

The first consignment of wheat to Afghanistan left from Kandla port, Gujarat, on 29th of October,2017. From Chabahar port the cargo will take the land route through Iran to Kabul. 

"The people of India, Afghanistan, and Iran have been connected through centuries; shared commonalities of art and culture,ideas and knowledge; language and traditions. Today, we are rejuvenating these connects and commonalities. I believe that this is the starting point of our journey to realize the full spectrum of connectivity," Sushma Swaraj, External Affairs Minister said while flagging off the shipment. 

Import and Export data

Here are some data:

Top five Export and Import partners: Data 2016

Exporter
Trade   (US$ Mil)
Partner share(%)

Market
 Trade (US$ Mil)
 Partner  share(%)
Iran, Islamic Rep.
1,265 
19.36

Pakistan
 283 
47.5
Pakistan
1,199 
18.35

India
 230 
38.57
China
1,093 
16.72

Iran, Islamic Rep.
 19 
3.16
Kazakhstan
622 
9.51

Turkey
 12 
2.04
Uzbekistan
399 
6.11

Iraq
 11 
1.88
Source https://wits.worldbank.org

Imports by Afghanistan in last 5 years


Exports in last 5 years


Product Group-wise imports in 2016



India can pick up share of this pie, especially in Chemicals, Food Products, Footwear, Machinery and electrical, Metals, Plastic and Rubber, Textiles and Clothing and Transportation.

India is already involved in development of infrastructure in Afghanistan. With the alternate route now in place, a lot of inputs can be sourced from India.

Product Group-wise Exports in 2016


Potentials exist in sourcing raw materials and chemicals.

Limited SWOT analysis

Strength
  • With GDP of USD 20 billion only and GDP growth rate at meager 2.20 %, Afghanistan's economy is set to explode. Afghanistan is getting International support both financially and otherwise to re-build its infrastructure.
  • Largely credible and recognized stable democratic governments since 2005.
  • Re-vamped Army and Security agencies.
  • Trade with India was restricted due to transit problems. Chabahar port may provide the opening which India traders were looking for.
  • Excellent relation with India.
  • Untapped natural resources.
Weakness
  • Ranking of ease of doing business is 183 of 190 in 2017 as per The World bank-IBRD IDA. A lot needs to improve.
  • Lack of skilled and trained personnel.
  • Factions and inter-tribal tensions.

Opportunities

  • Despite Afghanistan being one of the poorest country in the world, geological surveys by USGS,  has revealed that there is a huge potential in mining of natural resources, including chromium, copper, gold, iron ore and lithium, worth billions of dollars. Exploration and extraction of coal, gemstones and marble are already in progress.
  • Militia and warlords are by and large fragmented, hence better penetration possible.
  • The involvement of India in the country's infra development.
  • Trade with central Asian countries from Afghanistan.
Threats
  • Decades of civil war in Afghanistan has ruined its infrastructure, administrative and education system.
  • Large chunk of area still occupied by Taliban.
Conclusion 

By and large this new opening of trade route and connection to Afghanistan is something which can immensely benefit India. 


Vinay Pandey, 31/10/2017


PS : If you have a suggestion or have noticed a mistake, please leave a comment.